Polymarket saw $529M traded on bets tied to bombing of Iran
In Brief Posted: 11:05 AM PST · March 1, 2026 Image Credits:Michael Nagle/Bloomberg / Getty Images Anthony Ha Polymarket saw $529M traded on bets tied to bombing of Iran Prediction market users have made — and profited from — big bets around the bombing of Iran by the U.S. and Israeli military. On Polymarket, $529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the attack, according to Bloomberg. An analysis by analytics firm Bubblemaps SA found that six newly-created accounts made a profit of $1 million by correctly betting that the U.S. would strike Iran by February 28 — behavior that could indicate insider trading. The bets might merely reflect broader speculation about U.S. intentions in Iran, but Bubblemaps CEO Nicolas Vaiman said the circulation…
